Advantage Newsletter - January 2010

Economic Barometer—Are Rates on the Rise?

Economic BarometerEven though this past year was marked by challenges, notable progress was made on several fronts. Rates remained at historical lows in an effort to help fuel the economy. The housing market significantly benefited from low rates, which helped to further enhance economic development. Here is some important information about economic developments in the coming months:

  1. Mortgage rates are expected to rise, which could affect refinancing efforts and the housing market. Some economists predict that rates for a 30-year mortgage will pass 6 percent this year as the government reduces housing market support. However, rates in the 5 percent range are exceptionally low by historical standards, providing opportunities for homeowners.

  2. Pending home sales are well above year-ago levels, which demonstrates the housing market has gained momentum over the past year. The extended homebuyer tax credit will help reignite the momentum and hopefully contribute to an expected surge in early spring. This tax credit, which expires at the end of April, reduces taxes dollar-for-dollar up to $8,000 for new homebuyers and $6,500 for buyers who already own a home.

  3. The number of newly laid-off workers filing claims for unemployment benefits has continued to drop, which is a positive sign the job market is improving as the economy gradually recovers. New jobless claims have dropped steadily since the fall, which indicates the economy will be creating jobs and the unemployment rate will recede.

  4. U.S. auto sales ended 2009 on a high note after a challenging year in which two auto giants filed for bankruptcy. The U.S. market is positioned for a steady rebound this year and has set production plans at a higher level to help replenish inventories.
Economic activity will carry on and build the momentum needed for markets to improve and the economy to reach a sustainable recovery.