Advantage Newsletter - June 2009

Economic Barometer—Signs of Less Distress in the Housing Market?

Economic Barometer The recent increase in pending home sales is a positive development for the unsettled housing market, reflecting the improvement in credit markets and the overall economy. This upswing in the volume of signed contracts to buy existing homes proved to be better than what was anticipated, actually surpassing levels from around this same time last year. Home prices need to continue to stabilize before the real estate market recovery will fully materialize. Here is some relevant information on the housing market and its impact on the economy:

  1. Low interest rates, more affordable housing, and the $8,000 tax credit are contributing to the rise in pending sales of existing homes.

  2. Not all housing markets are the same.  Some markets continue to depreciate while others are actually appreciating.  Local real estate and mortgage experts are good sources of local knowledge.

  3. Mortgage credit markets, supported by the commitment of the Treasury Department, created the environment for homeowners to refinance into lower-rate, fixed loans, boosting homeowner’s discretionary budgets.  The broader economy has directly benefited from this, reflected recently in retail sales and consumer savings rates.

  4. Sustained improvement in the housing market requires assistance from the job market and a continued low rate environment.  The government has committed to providing the needed stimulus in both areas to ensure this improvement.
Housing markets are measured locally.  Continue to be aware of the factors in your community—plant closings, new business starts, homes for sale, and foreclosure rates—to get a more accurate indication of where your community stands in the recovery.  In addition, check with local experts, such as real estate and mortgage professionals, for information.